Previously I posted the 25 most interesting NET concerts. Now I'm going to the other end of the scale and listing the 25 with the highest Predictability Indices. Here they are ranked in descending order.
17-Jul-93 Bern, Switzerland 0.71214-Nov-11
Assago, Italy 0.691
25-Oct-98 Chicago 0.68717-Aug-11
Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 0.68619-Aug-11
Gilford, New Hampshire 0.68516-Aug-11
Columbia, Maryland 0.68310-Oct-11
Manchester, England 0.68206-Oct-11
Dublin, Ireland 0.68114-Aug-11
Asbury Park, New Jersey 0.68120-Nov-11
London, England 0.67909-Nov-11
Padova, Italy 0.676
13-Jul-93 Cascais, Portugal 0.67420-Aug-11
Bangor, Maine 0.67311-Nov-11
Florence, Italy 0.672
22-Feb-98 Fairfax, Virginia 0.66810-Aug-11
Scranton, Pennsylvania 0.66821-Aug-11
Boston, Massachusetts 0.66707-Aug-11
Rochester Hills, Michigan 0.66207-Nov-11
Nürnberg, Germany 0.659
23-Oct-98 Minneapolis, Minnesota 0.65926-Jul-11
New Orleans, Louisiana 0.65702-Nov-11
Herning, Denmark 0.656
15-Nov-03 London 0.65509-Oct-11
Glasgow, Scotland 0.653
20-Feb-98 Bristol, Tennessee 0.652
Note the preponderance of gigs from last year in this list: 18 of the 25. This makes a good case for the argument that the NET has become a bit predictable as far as set-list variation goes.
Still there's no reason not to be hopeful of seeing Lily Rosemary and The Jack of Hearts on this year's sets.
reason perhaps, thank goodness that's not all we have in our faculties.
Really nice work tompius. really neat (and not surprising) to see it lines up with the subjective value system pretty well. one of the reasons i love math...
as far as this developing into a predictive measure for new setlist adds...well that would be very impressive. and scary. for bob especially. he probably intuits and goes on hunches in ways that line up pretty closely with his implicit monitoring of frequencies and patterns, that sort of thing.
scary that our obsessions have gotten so developed we are ready to bring the scientific method into the system of passionate debate. but a clear sign that the times are a changing and it's a good time to be a dylan fan.