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PostPosted: Fri April 20th, 2012, 21:28 GMT 
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Regarding the list itself, yes.
The performances are looking pretty strong, though, from the tidbits I've seen.
I want to arrive in Sampa tonight. Too bad for me.
Thanks for your good work Mr. Pius!


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PostPosted: Sun April 22nd, 2012, 08:46 GMT 

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Stats for Sao Paolo 21 Apr:

PI=0.600

Songs and PM values prior to concert:

A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall (0.308)
All Along The Watchtower (0.985)
Ballad Of A Thin Man (1.000)
Beyond Here Lies Nothin' (0.297)
Blowin' In The Wind (0.269)
Don't Think Twice, It's All Right (0.274)
Every Grain Of Sand (0.002)
Highway 61 Revisited (0.995)
Honest With Me (0.621)
Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat (0.918)
Like A Rolling Stone (1.000)
Love Sick (0.083)
Make You Feel My Love (0.089)
Tangled Up In Blue (0.687)
The Levee's Gonna Break (0.365)
Things Have Changed (0.950)
Thunder On The Mountain (0.995)

Three songs played whose PM was less than 0.2: Every Grain, Love Sick, Make You Feel My Love

All songs, ranked according to their new PM values

1.000 Ballad Of A Thin Man
1.000 Like A Rolling Stone
0.995 Highway 61 Revisited
0.995 Thunder On The Mountain
0.986 All Along The Watchtower
0.952 Things Have Changed
0.922 Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat
0.702 Tangled Up In Blue
0.640 Honest With Me
0.480 Desolation Row
0.397 The Levee's Gonna Break
0.376 Summer Days
0.342 A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall
0.342 Mississippi
0.335 Simple Twist of Fate
0.332 Beyond Here Lies Nothin'
0.315 Forgetful Heart
0.310 Don't Think Twice, It's All Right
0.306 Blowin' In The Wind
0.291 Spirit On The Water
0.270 It's All Over Now, Baby Blue
0.220 Man In The Long Black Coat
0.218 High Water (for Charlie Patton)
0.204 Blind Willie McTell
0.195 It Ain't Me, Babe
0.175 Tryin' To Get To Heaven
0.149 Rainy Day Women # 12 & 35
0.135 Make You Feel My Love
0.129 Love Sick
0.119 Jolene
0.112 Not Dark Yet
0.112 The Lonesome Death Of Hattie Carroll
0.109 Ballad Of Hollis Brown
0.107 Visions Of Johanna
0.085 John Brown
0.072 Girl From The North Country
0.068 Forever Young
0.058 Sugar Baby
0.052 To Ramona
0.052 Every Grain Of Sand
0.044 Cold Irons Bound
0.037 Shooting Star
0.033 Tweedle Dee & Tweedle Dum
0.029 Nettie Moore
0.028 Just Like Tom Thumb's Blues
0.026 Rollin' And Tumblin'
0.025 Can't Wait
0.021 Gonna Change My Way of Thinking
0.020 Boots Of Spanish Leather
0.020 Watching The River Flow
0.016 Workingman's Blues #2
0.015 I'll Be Your Baby Tonight
0.014 This Wheel's On Fire
0.012 If You Ever Go To Houston
0.005 Just Like A Woman
0.005 Love Minus Zero/No Limit
0.004 I Don't Believe You
0.004 Stuck Inside Of Mobile With The Memphis Blues Again
0.004 Señor (Tales Of Yankee Power)
0.002 The Man In Me
0.002 My Wife's Hometown
0.001 Masters Of War
0.001 When The Deal Goes Down
0.001 Til I Fell In Love With You
0.001 When I Paint My Masterpiece
0.001 Ain't Talkin'
0.001 I Dreamed I Saw St. Augustine
0.001 Lay Lady Lay
0.001 Shelter From The Storm
0.001 Most Likely You Go Your Way

Any song not on this list has a PM value of zero or virtually zero.


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PostPosted: Sun April 22nd, 2012, 09:00 GMT 
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Quote:
Three songs played whose PM was less than 0.2: Every Grain, Love Sick, Make You Feel My Love


Thanks tompius and Carolina :D


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PostPosted: Sun April 22nd, 2012, 12:57 GMT 
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Quote:
Three songs played whose PM was less than 0.2: Every Grain, Love Sick, Make You Feel My Love

Thanks for the data. In my head, the entire list looks like it's all above 0.75, so this data gives me better appreciation and another outlook. The vid clips point to strong shows.


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PostPosted: Mon April 23rd, 2012, 01:18 GMT 
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Hello Mr. Tom!
Seems like this one is also in the 0.6 to 0.7 zone as well.


Sao Paulo, Brazil
Credicard Hall
April 22, 2012

1. Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat
2. It Ain't Me, Babe (Bob on guitar)
3. Things Have Changed (Bob on harp)
4. Tangled Up In Blue (Bob on harp)
5. Beyond Here Lies Nothin' (Bob on guitar)
6. Not Dark Yet (Bob on harp)
7. Summer Days
8. Simple Twist Of Fate (Bob on guitar)
9. High Water (For Charley Patton) (Bob on harp, Donnie on banjo)
10. Tryin' To Get To Heaven (Bob on harp)
11. Highway 61 Revisited (Bob on guitar)
12. Forgetful Heart (Bob on harp)
13. Thunder On The Mountain
14. Ballad Of A Thin Man (Bob on harp)
15. Like A Rolling Stone
16. All Along The Watchtower (Bob on harp)

(encore)
17. Blowin' In The Wind (Bob on guitar)

Thanks to Fernando Viotti for the phone call.
Fernando Rocks! And so does Bill!


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PostPosted: Mon April 23rd, 2012, 14:58 GMT 

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Still Go Barefoot,

You're right. The PI has become itself predictable. Hardly any change at all from the previous night. To be precise, for Sao Paolo, 22 Apr, it is 0.604. The PM values prior to the concert for the individual songs were:

Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat (0.922)
It Ain't Me, Babe (0.195)
Things Have Changed (0.952)
Tangled Up In Blue (0.702)
Beyond Here Lies Nothin' (0.332)
Not Dark Yet (0.112)
Summer Days (0.376)
Simple Twist Of Fate (0.335)
High Water (0.218)
Tryin' To Get To Heaven (0.175)
Highway 61 Revisited (0.995)
Forgetful Heart (0.315)
Thunder On The Mountain (0.995)
Ballad Of A Thin Man (1.000)
Like A Rolling Stone (1.000)
All Along The Watchtower (0.986)
Blowin' In The Wind (0.306)

Again three songs below the 0.2 benchmark: It Ain't Be Babe, Not Dark Yet and Tryin' To Get To Heaven.

And, going forward, the songs, ranked by their new PM values, are:

1.000 Ballad Of A Thin Man
1.000 Like A Rolling Stone
0.996 Highway 61 Revisited
0.995 Thunder On The Mountain
0.987 All Along The Watchtower
0.955 Things Have Changed
0.926 Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat
0.717 Tangled Up In Blue
0.608 Honest With Me
0.456 Desolation Row
0.407 Summer Days
0.377 The Levee's Gonna Break
0.368 Simple Twist of Fate
0.366 Beyond Here Lies Nothin'
0.349 Forgetful Heart
0.340 Blowin' In The Wind
0.325 A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall
0.324 Mississippi
0.294 Don't Think Twice, It's All Right
0.277 Spirit On The Water
0.257 High Water (for Charlie Patton)
0.256 It's All Over Now, Baby Blue
0.236 It Ain't Me, Babe
0.216 Tryin' To Get To Heaven
0.209 Man In The Long Black Coat
0.194 Blind Willie McTell
0.157 Not Dark Yet
0.141 Rainy Day Women # 12 & 35
0.128 Make You Feel My Love
0.122 Love Sick
0.113 Jolene
0.107 The Lonesome Death Of Hattie Carroll
0.103 Ballad Of Hollis Brown
0.102 Visions Of Johanna
0.081 John Brown
0.069 Girl From The North Country
0.065 Forever Young
0.055 Sugar Baby
0.050 To Ramona
0.049 Every Grain Of Sand
0.042 Cold Irons Bound
0.035 Shooting Star
0.031 Tweedle Dee & Tweedle Dum
0.028 Nettie Moore
0.026 Just Like Tom Thumb's Blues
0.025 Rollin' And Tumblin'
0.023 Can't Wait
0.020 Gonna Change My Way of Thinking
0.019 Boots Of Spanish Leather
0.019 Watching The River Flow
0.015 Workingman's Blues #2
0.014 I'll Be Your Baby Tonight
0.013 This Wheel's On Fire
0.012 If You Ever Go To Houston
0.005 Just Like A Woman
0.005 Love Minus Zero/No Limit
0.004 I Don't Believe You
0.004 Stuck Inside Of Mobile With The Memphis Blues Again
0.003 Señor (Tales Of Yankee Power)
0.002 The Man In Me
0.002 My Wife's Hometown
0.001 Masters Of War
0.001 When The Deal Goes Down
0.001 Til I Fell In Love With You
0.001 When I Paint My Masterpiece
0.001 Ain't Talkin'
0.001 I Dreamed I Saw St. Augustine
0.001 Lay Lady Lay
0.001 Shelter From The Storm
0.001 Most Likely You Go Your Way

Mississippi is the only song with a PM above 0.2 that hasn't been played yet this year. So maybe that'll be the next song to debut on this tour.


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PostPosted: Mon April 23rd, 2012, 16:24 GMT 
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tompius wrote:
Previously I posted the 25 most interesting NET concerts. Now I'm going to the other end of the scale and listing the 25 with the highest Predictability Indices. Here they are ranked in descending order.

17-Jul-93 Bern, Switzerland 0.712
14-Nov-11 Assago, Italy 0.691
25-Oct-98 Chicago 0.687
17-Aug-11 Philadelphia, Pennsylvania 0.686
19-Aug-11 Gilford, New Hampshire 0.685
16-Aug-11 Columbia, Maryland 0.683
10-Oct-11 Manchester, England 0.682
06-Oct-11 Dublin, Ireland 0.681
14-Aug-11 Asbury Park, New Jersey 0.681
20-Nov-11 London, England 0.679
09-Nov-11 Padova, Italy 0.676
13-Jul-93 Cascais, Portugal 0.674
20-Aug-11 Bangor, Maine 0.673
11-Nov-11 Florence, Italy 0.672
22-Feb-98 Fairfax, Virginia 0.668
10-Aug-11 Scranton, Pennsylvania 0.668
21-Aug-11 Boston, Massachusetts 0.667
07-Aug-11 Rochester Hills, Michigan 0.662
07-Nov-11 Nürnberg, Germany 0.659
23-Oct-98 Minneapolis, Minnesota 0.659
26-Jul-11 New Orleans, Louisiana 0.657
02-Nov-11 Herning, Denmark 0.656
15-Nov-03 London 0.655
09-Oct-11 Glasgow, Scotland 0.653
20-Feb-98 Bristol, Tennessee 0.652


Note the preponderance of gigs from last year in this list: 18 of the 25. This makes a good case for the argument that the NET has become a bit predictable as far as set-list variation goes.

Still there's no reason not to be hopeful of seeing Lily Rosemary and The Jack of Hearts on this year's sets. :lol:


no mathematical reason perhaps, thank goodness that's not all we have in our faculties.
Really nice work tompius. really neat (and not surprising) to see it lines up with the subjective value system pretty well. one of the reasons i love math...

as far as this developing into a predictive measure for new setlist adds...well that would be very impressive. and scary. for bob especially. he probably intuits and goes on hunches in ways that line up pretty closely with his implicit monitoring of frequencies and patterns, that sort of thing.

scary that our obsessions have gotten so developed we are ready to bring the scientific method into the system of passionate debate. but a clear sign that the times are a changing and it's a good time to be a dylan fan.


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PostPosted: Mon April 23rd, 2012, 22:30 GMT 
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Troubadour64 wrote:
scary that our obsessions have gotten so developed we are ready to bring the scientific method into the system of passionate debate.

What about a world society running around the streets glued obsessively to mobile phones? Now THAT's scary!


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PostPosted: Tue April 24th, 2012, 02:32 GMT 

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This is fascinating stuff. You have my vote to share all - way back to '74!


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PostPosted: Tue April 24th, 2012, 23:32 GMT 
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Shooting to get below a 0.6 tonight for all you statistical data lovers.
Is it possible? Will Mississippi appear?


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PostPosted: Wed April 25th, 2012, 01:57 GMT 
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I'm thinkin' we had a 0.62 - 0.65 show tonight, Mr. Tom. Just a guess without knowing the exact set list yet.


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PostPosted: Wed April 25th, 2012, 07:29 GMT 

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You're getting closer all the time Still Go Barefoot in your predictions of the prediction index. This time the PI has increased slightly to 0.618.

As usual I list the songs with their pre-concert PM values:

Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat (0.926)
It's All Over Now, Baby Blue (0.256)
Things Have Changed (0.955)
Tangled Up In Blue (0.717)
Beyond Here Lies Nothin' (0.366)
Simple Twist Of Fate (0.368)
John Brown (0.081)
Summer Days (0.407)
Desolation Row (0.456)
Blind Willie McTell (0.194)
Highway 61 Revisited (0.996)
Love Sick (0.122)
Thunder On The Mountain (0.995)
Ballad Of A Thin Man (1.000)
Like A Rolling Stone (1.000)
All Along The Watchtower (0.987)
Blowin' In The Wind (0.340)

John Brown is the new debut song. Although relatively rare, it had been played 5 times last year, the last of which was Geneva on 15 Nov 2011. Love Sick and Blind Willie McTell have yet to come above 0.2. So as before we have three songs in the set with PM values below 0.2.

The new PM rankings are:

1.000 Ballad Of A Thin Man
1.000 Like A Rolling Stone
0.996 Highway 61 Revisited
0.995 Thunder On The Mountain
0.988 All Along The Watchtower
0.957 Things Have Changed
0.930 Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat
0.731 Tangled Up In Blue
0.577 Honest With Me
0.483 Desolation Row
0.437 Summer Days
0.400 Simple Twist of Fate
0.397 Beyond Here Lies Nothin'
0.373 Blowin' In The Wind
0.358 The Levee's Gonna Break
0.332 Forgetful Heart
0.309 A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall
0.308 Mississippi
0.293 It's All Over Now, Baby Blue
0.280 Don't Think Twice, It's All Right
0.263 Spirit On The Water
0.244 High Water (for Charlie Patton)
0.234 Blind Willie McTell
0.224 It Ain't Me, Babe
0.206 Tryin' To Get To Heaven
0.199 Man In The Long Black Coat
0.166 Love Sick
0.149 Not Dark Yet
0.134 Rainy Day Women # 12 & 35
0.127 John Brown
0.122 Make You Feel My Love
0.107 Jolene
0.101 The Lonesome Death Of Hattie Carroll
0.098 Ballad Of Hollis Brown
0.097 Visions Of Johanna
0.065 Girl From The North Country
0.062 Forever Young
0.052 Sugar Baby
0.047 To Ramona
0.047 Every Grain Of Sand
0.040 Cold Irons Bound
0.033 Shooting Star
0.030 Tweedle Dee & Tweedle Dum
0.026 Nettie Moore
0.025 Just Like Tom Thumb's Blues
0.024 Rollin' And Tumblin'
0.022 Can't Wait
0.019 Gonna Change My Way of Thinking
0.018 Boots Of Spanish Leather
0.018 Watching The River Flow
0.015 Workingman's Blues #2
0.014 I'll Be Your Baby Tonight
0.012 This Wheel's On Fire
0.011 If You Ever Go To Houston
0.004 Just Like A Woman
0.004 Love Minus Zero/No Limit
0.004 I Don't Believe You
0.004 Stuck Inside Of Mobile With The Memphis Blues Again
0.003 Señor (Tales Of Yankee Power)
0.002 The Man In Me
0.002 My Wife's Hometown
0.001 Masters Of War
0.001 When The Deal Goes Down
0.001 Til I Fell In Love With You
0.001 When I Paint My Masterpiece
0.001 Ain't Talkin'
0.001 I Dreamed I Saw St. Augustine
0.001 Lay Lady Lay
0.001 Shelter From The Storm
0.001 Most Likely You Go Your Way

Argentina next. Will that be the cue to bring out Senor. Or will he wait until he gets to Mexico for that? Another one that I feel is going to be played soon is Jolene. Mind you, I'm hoping he has consigned it to the bin of forgotten songs - never cared for it myself.


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PostPosted: Thu April 26th, 2012, 00:27 GMT 
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I'm goin' in blind for the next show Pius.
Let's guess a 0.63 (too bad).


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PostPosted: Fri April 27th, 2012, 15:36 GMT 

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Still Go Barefoot wrote:
I'm goin' in blind for the next show Pius.
Let's guess a 0.63 (too bad).



You're almost there. First night in Buenos Aires is 0.616. Nothing new on the set-list:

Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat (0.930)
It Ain't Me, Babe (0.224)
Things Have Changed (0.957)
Tangled Up In Blue (0.731)
Beyond Here Lies Nothin' (0.397)
Tryin' To Get To Heaven (0.206)
High Water (for Charlie Patton) (0.244)
Spirit On The Water (0.263)
The Levee's Gonna Break (0.358)
A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall (0.309)
Highway 61 Revisited (0.996)
Love Sick (0.166)
Thunder On The Mountain (0.995)
Ballad Of A Thin Man (1.000)
Like A Rolling Stone (1.000)
All Along The Watchtower (0.988)
Blowin' In The Wind (0.373)

Love Sick is the only one with a PM below 0.2. I feel that there'll be no PI below 0.6 until he comes to Europe. What's happening now is just a continuation of last year, only a little less varied.


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PostPosted: Fri April 27th, 2012, 18:15 GMT 
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This thread would have been a handy resource for making Never Ending Pool picks...


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PostPosted: Sat April 28th, 2012, 11:13 GMT 

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Yes, I think it is useful for Never Ending Pool. The PI, this season, has been practically stationery, ranging from 0.600 to 0.630. So if you want to choose a set-list it's best to make sure that its PI comes out at something within this range. Of course that still allows for a lot of variety.

Anyway. With this in mind I tried doing a forecast for last night. But, no matter what combination I tried, I couldn't get the PI to be less than 0.65 or so. (Obviously I could get it below 0.65 if I picked enough rareties. But, given what has happened thus far, that didn't seem likely.) For the record my final forecast was

Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat
Don't Think Twice, It's All Right
Things Have Changed
Tangled Up In Blue
Beyond Here Lies Nothin'
Not Dark Yet
Mississippi
Desolation Row
Honest With Me
Simple Twist Of Fate
Highway 61 Revisited
Man In The Long Black Coat
Thunder On The Mountain
Ballad Of A Thin Man
Like A Rolling Stone
All Along The Watchtower
Blowin' In The Wind

This would give a PI of 0.649. So I was left with the feeling that the PI was going to take a rise. Either that or Bob would introduce as many as three relatively new songs. Read next post for what happened.


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PostPosted: Sat April 28th, 2012, 11:26 GMT 

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The one thing I hadn't figured on was that Bob would drop Things Have Changed which has been a virtual staple on the sets for more than a year now. He brought in two new songs Girl From The North Country (not too rare) and Cry A While (really rare - played just once last year). The crazy thing is that despite these changes, the PI remains virtually the same as the night before. On the first Buenos Aires concert it was 0.616. Last night it was 0.619. Remarkable.

Here are the a priori PM values for the songs played last night:

Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat (0.933)
Girl Of The North Country (0.062)
Beyond Here Lies Nothin' (0.427)
Tangled Up In Blue (0.745)
Honest With Me (0.549)
Desolation Row (0.459)
Cry A While (0.000)
Make You Feel My Love (0.115)
The Levee's Gonna Break (0.390)
Love Sick (0.208)
Highway 61 Revisited (0.996)
Simple Twist Of Fate (0.380)
Thunder On The Mountain (0.996)
Ballad Of A Thin Man (1.000)
Like A Rolling Stone (1.000)
All Along The Watchtower (0.988)
Blowin' In The Wind (0.405)


Going forward the songs ranked according to PM value are now:

1.000 Ballad Of A Thin Man
1.000 Like A Rolling Stone
0.996 Highway 61 Revisited
0.996 Thunder On The Mountain
0.989 All Along The Watchtower
0.936 Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat
0.911 Things Have Changed
0.758 Tangled Up In Blue
0.571 Honest With Me
0.486 Desolation Row
0.456 Beyond Here Lies Nothin'
0.434 Blowin' In The Wind
0.421 The Levee's Gonna Break
0.411 Simple Twist of Fate
0.395 Summer Days
0.326 A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall
0.299 Forgetful Heart
0.285 Spirit On The Water
0.278 Mississippi
0.268 High Water (for Charlie Patton)
0.265 It's All Over Now, Baby Blue
0.252 Don't Think Twice, It's All Right
0.249 It Ain't Me, Babe
0.247 Love Sick
0.233 Tryin' To Get To Heaven
0.211 Blind Willie McTell
0.179 Man In The Long Black Coat
0.160 Make You Feel My Love
0.134 Not Dark Yet
0.121 Rainy Day Women # 12 & 35
0.114 John Brown
0.097 Jolene
0.091 The Lonesome Death Of Hattie Carroll
0.088 Ballad Of Hollis Brown
0.087 Visions Of Johanna
0.059 Girl From The North Country
0.056 Forever Young
0.050 Cry A While
0.047 Sugar Baby
0.043 To Ramona
0.042 Every Grain Of Sand
0.036 Cold Irons Bound
0.030 Shooting Star
0.027 Tweedle Dee & Tweedle Dum
0.024 Nettie Moore
0.023 Just Like Tom Thumb's Blues
0.022 Rollin' And Tumblin'
0.020 Can't Wait
0.017 Gonna Change My Way of Thinking
0.017 Boots Of Spanish Leather
0.016 Watching The River Flow
0.013 Workingman's Blues #2
0.012 I'll Be Your Baby Tonight
0.011 This Wheel's On Fire
0.010 If You Ever Go To Houston
0.004 Just Like A Woman
0.004 Love Minus Zero/No Limit
0.003 I Don't Believe You
0.003 Stuck Inside Of Mobile With The Memphis Blues Again
0.003 Señor (Tales Of Yankee Power)
0.002 The Man In Me
0.002 My Wife's Hometown
0.001 Masters Of War
0.001 When The Deal Goes Down
0.001 Til I Fell In Love With You
0.001 When I Paint My Masterpiece
0.001 Ain't Talkin'
0.001 I Dreamed I Saw St. Augustine
0.001 Lay Lady Lay
0.001 Shelter From The Storm
0.001 Most Likely You Go Your Way

If you are trying to make a forecast for tonight, try choosing so that the average of the PM values, given above, (use zero for any song not listed) is about 0.59. Multipling this by 0.95 and adding 0.05 will give a PI value of about 0.61.


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PostPosted: Sat April 28th, 2012, 18:41 GMT 
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I'm looking for stuff that's not even on this above list. Some new covers or some dusty stuff out of the vault. The endless quest.

Many years ago I realized that my set list expectations were much too high, so I put more weight on the live performance experience itself, set list be damned. Tompius's data further confirms that one should not rely on only the set list (easier said than done though) when judging a show.

That said, IMHO, I think that tonight will come in at a 0.61 again with 5 or 6 different songs from the previous night and maybe one more that hasn't been played on the South American leg yet. I am hoping for more than that, but I don't expect it.

Meanwhile, I feel that Bob and band are putting on shows that are very much worth attending.


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PostPosted: Sun April 29th, 2012, 08:22 GMT 

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First I need to point out that the statistics I posted yesterday had errors. My program didn't "recognize" the song Girl Of The North Country - the expected title is Girl From The North Country. (I have a error check in my programme to pick up on when a son on the set-list is not no the standard list but I didn't notice the cell saying "error" on my spread sheet.) So the PI was incorrect. The correct PI was 0.589. So I missed out on picking up on the fact that the PI had gone below 0.6 for the first time this year.

My apologies.

For last night (28 Apr) the PI has gone down a few more points. It is now 0.555. Things are getting a little exciting. Five songs from the early years - that must be the highest number for a very long time. None of these songs (Hollis, Hard Rain, Hattie, Blowin' & Ramona) have been neglected in recent years but it's unusual for all of them to be played on the same night.

Previously I listed the set-list with the a priori (before the concert) PM values. I've decided it's perhaps more appropriate to list the a posteriori (after the concert) PM values. Here they are:

Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat (0.94)
To Ramona (0.091)
Beyond Here Lies Nothin' (0.483)
Tangled Up In Blue (0.77)
Summer Days (0.425)
Not Dark Yet (0.178)
Jolene (0.142)
Ballad Of Hollis Brown (0.134)
A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall (0.36)
The Lonesome Death Of Hattie Carroll (0.137)
Highway 61 Revisited (0.997)
Forgetful Heart (0.334)
Thunder On The Mountain (0.996)
Ballad Of A Thin Man (1.000)
Like A Rolling Stone (1.000)
All Along The Watchtower (0.989)
Blowin' In The Wind (0.463)

The total number of songs played this year is now 37. I feel a few more will be added in the next few days. The five most likely to be added (according to PM value) are:

Mississippi (0.264)
Visions Of Johanna (0.083)
Forever Young (0.053)
Sugar Baby (0.045)
Cold Irons Bound (0.034)


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PostPosted: Sun April 29th, 2012, 10:01 GMT 

Joined: Sun January 23rd, 2011, 18:59 GMT
Posts: 3
Love your work , thank you :D


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PostPosted: Sun April 29th, 2012, 12:31 GMT 
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Joined: Fri July 15th, 2011, 02:23 GMT
Posts: 20884
No way should you apologize, Mr. Pius. Good catch and thanks for the tremendous amount of work and attention to detail that this requires. Certainly a labor of love! Glad that things are gonna get interesting right about now. Here's to the quest for low PIs, backed up with tight quality shows. Thanks!


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PostPosted: Mon April 30th, 2012, 02:02 GMT 
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Joined: Wed June 13th, 2007, 04:19 GMT
Posts: 2692
Location: A kingdom called heaven
Quote:
It is now 0.555.



C'est tout de même étonnant. Merci.


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PostPosted: Mon April 30th, 2012, 03:47 GMT 
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Joined: Fri July 15th, 2011, 02:23 GMT
Posts: 20884
Peggy Night wrote:
Quote:
It is now 0.555.



C'est tout de même étonnant. Merci.

I agree with your astonishment. Things are good!


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PostPosted: Tue May 1st, 2012, 16:01 GMT 

Joined: Thu February 5th, 2009, 23:32 GMT
Posts: 201
Location: Ireland
Buenos Aires 30 April

The PI is 0.621. The Set-list and its PM values are:

Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat (0.943)
Man In The Long Black Coat (0.212)
Things Have Changed (0.872)
Tangled Up In Blue (0.781)
Rollin' And Tumblin' (0.069)
Spirit On The Water (0.307)
Summer Days (0.454)
Desolation Row (0.489)
High Water (for Charlie Patton) (0.292)
Simple Twist Of Fate (0.421)
Highway 61 Revisited (0.997)
Blind Willie McTell (0.241)
Thunder On The Mountain (0.996)
Ballad Of A Thin Man (1.000)
Like A Rolling Stone (1.000)
All Along The Watchtower (0.990)

Blowin' In The Wind (0.490)

Nothing very exciting here. Rollin' And Tumblin' is a debut for this year. (But it's hardly likely to excite anyone. Too generic for my liking anyway.) Otherwise nothing new. Beyond The Horizon was dropped. So now there are seven songs that have been played at every concert this year.

The ranking of songs by PM value is now:

1.000 Ballad Of A Thin Man
1.000 Like A Rolling Stone
0.997 Highway 61 Revisited
0.996 Thunder On The Mountain
0.990 All Along The Watchtower
0.943 Leopard-Skin Pill-Box Hat
0.872 Things Have Changed
0.781 Tangled Up In Blue
0.515 Honest With Me
0.490 Blowin' In The Wind
0.489 Desolation Row
0.459 Beyond Here Lies Nothin'
0.454 Summer Days
0.421 Simple Twist of Fate
0.380 The Levee's Gonna Break
0.342 A Hard Rain's A-Gonna Fall
0.318 Forgetful Heart
0.307 Spirit On The Water
0.292 High Water (for Charlie Patton)
0.251 Mississippi
0.241 Blind Willie McTell
0.239 It's All Over Now, Baby Blue
0.228 Don't Think Twice, It's All Right
0.225 It Ain't Me, Babe
0.223 Love Sick
0.212 Man In The Long Black Coat
0.210 Tryin' To Get To Heaven
0.169 Not Dark Yet
0.144 Make You Feel My Love
0.135 Jolene
0.130 The Lonesome Death Of Hattie Carroll
0.127 Ballad Of Hollis Brown
0.109 Rainy Day Women # 12 & 35
0.103 John Brown
0.098 Girl From The North Country
0.086 To Ramona
0.079 Visions Of Johanna
0.069 Rollin' And Tumblin'
0.050 Forever Young
0.045 Cry A While
0.042 Sugar Baby
0.038 Every Grain Of Sand
0.032 Cold Irons Bound
0.027 Shooting Star
0.024 Tweedle Dee & Tweedle Dum
0.021 Nettie Moore
0.020 Just Like Tom Thumb's Blues
0.018 Can't Wait
0.016 Gonna Change My Way of Thinking
0.015 Boots Of Spanish Leather
0.015 Watching The River Flow
0.012 Workingman's Blues #2
0.011 I'll Be Your Baby Tonight
0.010 This Wheel's On Fire
0.009 If You Ever Go To Houston
0.004 Just Like A Woman
0.004 Love Minus Zero/No Limit
0.003 I Don't Believe You
0.003 Stuck Inside Of Mobile With The Memphis Blues Again
0.003 Señor (Tales Of Yankee Power)
0.002 The Man In Me
0.002 My Wife's Hometown
0.001 Masters Of War
0.001 When The Deal Goes Down
0.001 Til I Fell In Love With You
0.001 When I Paint My Masterpiece
0.001 Ain't Talkin'
0.001 I Dreamed I Saw St. Augustine
0.001 Lay Lady Lay
0.001 Shelter From The Storm

Next stop: Santiago

Am I right in saying that no recordings of this tour have been posted on DIME yet this year? I'd like to actually check one out.


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PostPosted: Tue May 1st, 2012, 17:34 GMT 

Joined: Sat February 18th, 2012, 01:11 GMT
Posts: 8
Tom --

The first 2012 tapes are available on Dime right now: Rio, Brasília and Buenos Aires III.

I think the whole leg will be covered though.


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